
Situation Summary
Dominica remains a low-threat environment with a composite threat score of 3 and no confirmed security incidents in the past week. The country's overall stability profile is reflected in its #188 global ranking, with governance and administrative functions proceeding routinely. No civil unrest, major crime events, infrastructure disruptions, or travel warnings have been reported during the review period.
Key Developments
No qualifying security, conflict, civil-unrest, crime, or infrastructure-disruption incidents were confirmed in Dominica during 2026-09-08 to 2026-09-15. Available open-source reporting focused on routine government announcements, housing development initiatives, and cultural observances rather than risk-relevant events. The following administrative or non-security items were noted:
- Roseau (2026-09-09): Prime Minister Roosevelt Skerrit held a press conference addressing government matters; no security content was identified.
- Roseau (2026-09-10): Five Colombian nationals brought to Dominica under a third-country arrangement were reported to have returned to Colombia; characterization as administrative/diplomatic, not a disruption.
- Woodford Hill (2026-09-11): Handover of 16 climate-resilient homes to families proceeded without reported incident.
- National / Kalinago Territory (ongoing): Kalinago Week cultural observance began on 2026-09-13; this is a scheduled cultural event, not a security development.
Highest-Risk Areas
Saint Andrew Parish (risk 92), Saint John Parish (risk 88), and Saint George Parish (risk 81) are flagged as the highest-risk sub-national zones. However, no discrete events in the current seven-day window explain these composite scores; the rankings reflect cumulative historical risk factors, socioeconomic conditions, or persistent vulnerabilities rather than acute current developments. Saint Andrew and Saint John parishes warrant proportionally closer monitoring by security teams, though no immediate threat spike has been documented this week. The remaining parishes show progressively lower risk profiles, with Saint David Parish (risk 35) at the bottom of the ranked index.
How GeoBit Would Assist
Teams with personnel or assets in Dominica should employ AOI Monitoring & Early Warning for Saint Andrew and Saint John parishes to detect any emergence of civil unrest, crime clustering, or infrastructure disruption in real time. OSINT Fusion & Corroboration (social media, local news feeds, and sentiment analysis across X, Telegram, and local radio) will provide rapid detection of any security or instability event that emerges in the coming weeks. Risk & Threat Assessment capability enables quarterly or event-driven scoring updates to validate whether sub-national risk rankings remain stable or shift in response to new incidents.
7-Day Outlook
No acute security threats are forecast for Dominica in the immediate seven-day horizon. Routine administrative and development activities are expected to continue without disruption. Security teams should maintain standard monitoring cadence and alert thresholds for Saint Andrew and Saint John parishes while proceeding with normal duty-of-care protocols for personnel and assets throughout the country.
Highest-Risk Areas — Ranked
| # | State / Region | Risk |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Andrew Parish | 92 |
| 2 | Saint John Parish | 88 |
| 3 | Saint George Parish | 81 |
| 4 | Saint Mark Parish | 78 |
| 5 | Saint Joseph Parish | 72 |
| 6 | Saint Paul Parish | 68 |
| 7 | Saint Luke Parish | 62 |
| 8 | Saint Peter Parish | 55 |
| 9 | Saint Patrick Parish | 48 |
| 10 | Saint David Parish | 35 |
Sources
Previous Weekly Briefs
A new Dominica brief is written every Monday, covering the week — each with its own risk map and downloadable CSV. Use the calendar to go further back.
- September 8, 2026
- September 2, 2026
- August 30, 2026
- August 27, 2026
- August 24, 2026
- August 21, 2026
- August 18, 2026
📅 Browse past briefs by calendar →
Highlighted days have a brief. Tap a day for that day's map & analysis, or “csv” for that day's dataset ($5).
Atlas — our AI intelligence desk — emails them this snapshot personally. Nothing else, no list.